Part time jobs in beaufort sc
Part time and Full Time jobs in Colorado.
2015.03.16 21:10 BartmanJSimpson Part time and Full Time jobs in Colorado.
Please post Part Time and Full Time jobs in Colorado. No commission or pay for your own supplies type jobs.
2015.06.04 03:54 maynoeed Jobs Openings in India
Jobs Openings in India Offers Both Full and Part Time Jobs
2009.01.09 14:54 South Carolina News and Discussion
South Carolina is the best Carolina!
2023.03.31 17:50 WolfieZee Would you like to see more random events in the open world/dungeons?
I see a lot of discourse about the repetitive feel to the dungeons, as well as some criticism about certain times in the open world where you’re just walking and nothing is happening. I remember reading a dev commentary a while back that said they modeled the open world to an extent around RDR2 in terms of the random public events that can occur—but also needed to scale back some of the mobs at one point in development because it just got too crowded in the world.
During my first run of the Lights Watch dungeon I was happy with the amount of enemy dialogue there was, a dying NPC crawling on the ground, and the butcher appearing out of nowhere to stalk me through the level. But then all the subsequent dungeons just had me completing sorta boring objectives while running around killing mobs.
Was wondering if others thought it’d be cool if devs implemented more random events or small world building elements to dungeons and the open world to add some spice to your journey?
Obviously there’s a limit before it gets overwhelming or takes away from the core experience, but I wrote down some possible ideas.
Open World Events (Can be completely ignored like in RDR to prevent breaking your flow/travel)
- Moving caravan you have to protect until it gets to a town
- NPC challenges you to hunting contest
- NPC challenges you to monster killing contest
- NPC lures you into an ambush with some lie (Help my husband, he’s in trouble right over there! >.>)
- Town is under attack at the gates by mobs
- Bandits harassing a traveller, you can choose to help out or not.
Dungeon Events (As “intrusive” as the butcher, or as small as little bits of dialogue from enemies when entering a room to add flair)
- As you open a gate into a small room, an enemy closes it behind you and spawns a difficult enemy in the small room.
- Injured NPC asks you to go save their friend in a different part of the dungeon
- Healthy NPC offers to join you to clear a path to obtain some treasure somewhere in the dungeon
- A really slow moving but scary motherfucker spawns and slowly stalks you through the dungeon
Please definitely respond with your ideas too if ya want.
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2023.03.31 17:49 notreallysurefriends Sales Career Search Advice
Hi
sales New account here, but long time redditor.
I could use some advice regarding my job search - I am feeling a bit discouraged and would love some guidance for those willing to take the time to read this
I've been searching for a new sales role for quite a while now - I think I'm missing the mark on what types of roles I should apply for, or my resume is poorly written, or some combination of the above.
A little about me: -I have a degree in mechanical engineering, and I worked as an application engineer for a year out of college. This was meant to be a-sales role in a technical field related to manufacturing. I left this role because I took a lower salary with commission and my time was strucutred in a way where I had no time to actually make any commissions. It was a misleading job description. Kind of felt burned by my old boss.
-I have been selling real estate for the past 5 years, but I think I want to keep this as part time. Kind of soul sucking when done full time. -I co-built an online personal training business that has been running and thriving for 8 years, but am looking to move away from it. My role here is a combo of driving sales for our staff and providing service myself, not really any room for growth long term.
-I worked in the service industry as a waitebartendebusseetc for 10+ years while going through school, from casual to fine dining, so I have some people skills.
-I'm generally a big fan of working with people - this is what steered me away from a traditional engineering role.
I think I want to get into some sort of technical sales role, long term maybe in the medical device field, but I am open to ideas.
I think it would be good to leverage my degree, but I seem to struggle to get first interviews.
I've gotten a few interviews, and it generally feels like it goes pretty well, and then I get ghosted / no replies.
Hoping to land somewhere that is a great resume builder, and I'm not above any title, as my resume now I think lacks that traditional role structure.
I'm hungry to make the next move and do the work, just having a hard time finding what/where that will be.
Can anyone who has faced a similar situation shed some light for me? Is it just cold out there or what should I be looking for?
If it’s relevant, I’m in the greater Los Angeles area.
Thanks in advance
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2023.03.31 17:49 kenlin7678 ClimateStudio Rhino plug-in create octree failure
| A big problem for me even if I think I know a little bit about software. This is my first time asking Rhino here also I am not good at English. I could really use your help. I'm learning environmental performance for the Architecture. There is a plugin for Rhinoceros 3D named ClimateStudio by team Solemma. ClimateStudio use Radiance 5.3 that builded in with the main program to calculate a part of simulation. Everytime when I run the workflows always failed with the messenge "Octree error: octree failed" (yellow under line of the below picture). I am sure that the .3dm file I build can run by the school computer and my friend's. I doubt whether there is any conflicting Rhino and Grasshopper plug-in, so I have cleaned and repaired the program several times. There is another possibility that ClimateStudio cannot package the model to Radiance for analysis. So I manually added the Path of Radiance to system environment variable on my computer. Thanks for finishing reading my long story. Maybe I can keep using Ladybug and Honeybee instead of ClimateStudio. But it really powerful and convenient of environmental simulation (In fact I don't want to open Grasshopper XD). https://preview.redd.it/a0y355xti3ra1.png?width=1182&format=png&auto=webp&s=5ffeb4be32adf337acc5bfcc1a72b2ae3b361ef5 submitted by kenlin7678 to rhino [link] [comments] |
2023.03.31 17:49 SuperChadMonkey Need advice before I drop $3500 on a psych eval- Medical issue
My FAA medical nightmare need advice before I drop $3500 on a psych eval.
I am about 15 hours into my PPL, but I stopped when I started having issues getting my medical completed. I didn’t want to sink too much money into it before I had the medical thing locked down.
After my kid graduated high school, and I went through a divorce I decided to change course and do things for me instead of taking care of others. I always dreamed of flying, and I always thought I missed my calling, so I decided to give it a shot as it was something I had wanted to do since I was a kid.
When I initially went to get my AME exam (NOV 2021) I was still on an antidepressant from a bad divorce situation. Non one told me what this shit storm would involve, or I would have waited. My medical paperwork showed I requested my PCP put me on one to see if it helped, never diagnosed with anything. So I took 6 months to get off the med, and be clear of things and responded to the FAA. During that process they requested my entire medical history (JULY 2022), which is fine, but it exposed the fact that I had an IBS issue in the past, so they requested documentation for how I was handling that. Easy enough. But I was also surprised that there was some obscure reference to marijuana in my medical record. Verbatim was “has quit marijuana”, which triggered additional questions from FAA. The off handed remark I made to the doctor was that back in ~2017 I had tried everything to alleviate my symptoms of IBS, and even tried edibles while in Vegas that year. Apparently, that Nurse Practitioner put that shit in my medical record. So that meant that Letter 3 (October 2022) from the FAA requested a piss test in under 72 hours, detailed statement for frequency of use, all economic and legal issues I faced, any treatment records for my “abuse” and all clinical notes for my IBS issues. Easy to respond to, but now I got forwarded to a FAA department called “Drug and Alcohol” or something that piled on the issues. FAA letter 3 asked for a Psych eval, a medical release to the psych eval guy, and more IBS paperwork. This is when the slowdown kicked in. The psych eval guy requested all my previous military records, including all disability paperwork, and all medical records since I had them released the first time. The VA paperwork I had handy-easy enough, but I carry 2 disabilities from the VA. 1 for IBS which they attribute to the burn pit crap that you may have seen in the news, and 1 for my knees. But there’s yet another catch to this….apparently in the VA paperwork I was submitted at one time for PTSD, Alcoholism, sciatica, ankles, and a few other little things, all of which were denied since they didn’t apply. Never had those issues at all, but its in my paperwork. The lady when I was submitting for VA benefits, threw everything at the wall to see if I could get approved for anything, even though all I was really asking for was my knees at the time. Since all this Psych eval stuff was taking so long to release all these records, and waiting on my HIMS doc to refer me, I received a medical denial letter (MARCH 2023) from the FAA for taking too long. My HIMS doc has said “denials don’t matter”, which seems like some BS to me, but thinks I should move forward with the psych eval. I had previously requested extensions every time my HIMS doc asked me to, and this is the first time they told me no. At this point its been nearly 2 years of paperwork, and to say I am feeling discouraged is an understatement.
So basically, its down to is it worth spending this money only to get denied a medical anyway? I am over 40 and I am tired of working my IT job. It pays really well, and affords me the ability to pay for my PPL, but I had hopes of one day flying FEDEX or UPS for a second career to get away from IT. I am only trying to get a 3rd class, and I am sure if I went career pilot its only to get higher scrutiny.
Tell me. Is it worth paying to get through this? Am I basically screwed for life with the FAA? Will I even be able to get a first class in the future? Is this all a pipe dream? I feel like I am the only one that is telling the truth about my life to the FAA….
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2023.03.31 17:49 Available-Key641 Wording in contract. Secondary Teacher (Business), F28. Do I need to be wary of signing this?
I got a job offer and the contract states:
Your normal working week is 27.5 hours per week. You are, however, expected in agreement with the Principal to work such hours as are reasonably necessary to meet the school’s needs. The school reserves the right at any time to vary your normal working hours, as necessary, in order to meet changing needs. Your working week should not, however, exceed 48 hours over a rolling 17 week period (as required by the Working Time Regulations 1998) unless you have expressly agreed otherwise in writing.
Is this typical practice in contracts or should I be concerned about the number of hours I could be asked to work?
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2023.03.31 17:49 ZZ1Lord [Online][5e] [DoIP] [EU 7PM - Thursdays GMT+3] I will DM for you to fill the DM Shortage!
DISCLAIMER: MICROPHONE, WEBCAM AND A ACCOUNT ON DISCORD IS REQUIRED TO JOIN THIS CAMPAIGN. CAMPAIGN SESSIONS ARE 7PM - THURSDAYS GMT+3 WEEKLY!
In the Shortage of DMs in recent times, I offer the opportunity to host a game for those who want to be part of a small tabletop community, Where we can play a fun and healthy game! Players of All skill levels are welcome!
The game will first run with a session 0 where we will discuss characters and Introduce the world through the Port Town of Phlan and afterwards progress to the Dragon of Icepire Peak.
Short Summary of the Adventure:
Concept:
Dragon of Icespire Peak is an adventure about a crew of brave and compassionate adventurers who will fight tooth and nail against the white dragon that prays on the village of Phandalin. Aim:
The adventurers take on quests that will lead them across the shores of the Sword Coast in preparation for the final confrontation against the White Dragon which will determine if they find glory in victory, or become bedding for the dragon's resting place. Tone:
The Forgotten Realms is a hopeful setting. The setting is light hearted at large but holds a lot muscle for action when the players scout for it! Subject Matter:
Dragon of Icepire Peak is designed to facilitate a fiction-first approach to typical dungeon delving/OSR-type of content. The latter means it’s about adventures that aim to be fun by focusing on player ingenuity and an unpredictability of events. To achieve that it asks for somewhat impartial judgement and openness to unforeseen outcomes. The Forgotten Realms : The world of the Forgotten Realms is one of high fantasy, populated by elves, dwarves, halflings, humans, and other folk. In the Realms, knights dare the crypts of the fallen dwarf kings of Delzoun, seeking glory and treasure. Rogues prowl the dark alleyways of teeming cities such as Neverwinter and Baldur's Gate. Clerics in the service of gods wield mace and spell, questing against the terrifying powers that threaten the land. Wizards plunder the ruins of the fallen Netherese empire, delving into secrets too dark for the light of day. Bards sing of kings, queens, heroes, and tyrants who died long ago. On the roads and rivers of the Realms travel minstrels and peddlers, merchants and guards, soldiers and sailors. Steel-hearted adventurers from backcountry farmsteads and sleepy villages follow tales of strange, glorious, faraway places. Good maps and clear trails can take even an inexperienced youth with dreams of glory far across the world, but these paths are never safe. Fell magic and deadly monsters are the perils one faces when traveling in the Realms. Even farms and freeholds within a day's walk of a city can fall prey to monsters, and no place is safe from the sudden wrath of a dragon. Session 0 - Defiance in Phlan : Phlan, The Jeweled Port town of Moonsea, is a city in transition. Many groups compete for power, sometimes working together, but often at odds as schemes progress and alliances form and unravel. Thrown into this volatile mix is the Cult of the Dragon, a cabal of dragon-obsessed zealots whose plans go much deeper than the power struggles of mortals. Unlike most other D&D Expeditions adventures, Defiance in Phlan is broken into five mini-adventures, each of which is designed for one hour of play.
While each mini-adventure takes place against the backdrop of the struggles in Phlan, none focus too closely on any of Phlan’s plots or sites. Each gives just a small taste of the deeper troubles in Phlan, instead focusing on giving the players a fun, quick mission that can be completed in less than an hour.
Session 1 - Dragon of Icepire Peak : The frontier town of Phandalin is built on the ruins of a much older settlement. Hundreds of years ago, the old Phandalin was a thriving human town whose people were firmly allied with neighboring dwarves and gnomes. Then an orc horde swept through the area and laid waste to the settlement, and Phandalin was abandoned for centuries. In the last three or four years, settlers from the cities of Neverwinter and Waterdeep have begun the hard work of reclaiming the ruins of Phandalin. The new settlement is home now to farmers, woodcutters, fur traders, and prospectors drawn by stories of gold and platinum in the foothills of the Sword Mountains. The arrival of a white dragon threatens to destroy all that they've worked to rebuild. Tools for Players: Historic Campaign Player's Guide (The info you need for Character Creation) The VTT is dressed with Top-down Token, get a token that excites you and inspires you to make an adventurer! Quick Rules for Reference!A guide to the style of Faerun, If you do not own The Sword Coast Adventurer's Guide! (Variant Human Languages is Active) Session Time : ys 7PM GMT+3
Session Length : 3-4ish Hours
Spoken Language : English
VTT Used for Grid Based Gameplay : Foundry VTT
Voice Call: Discord
Party Length: 3-5 Players +1 DM
Send me a Message on Reddit if you are interested!
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2023.03.31 17:49 thinkingstranger March 30, 2023
https://heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/march-30-2023 The New York grand jury investigating Trump’s 2016 hush-money payments to adult film actor Stormy Daniels has voted to indict the former president. While we don’t know the full range of charges, Manhattan district attorney Alvin Bragg’s office confirmed that they were forthcoming tonight when it released a statement saying, “This evening we contacted Mr. Trump’s attorney to coordinate his surrender to the Manhattan D.A.’s office for arraignment on a Supreme Court indictment, which remains under seal.”
This is the first time in history a former United States president has been indicted, although it is worth remembering that it is not new for our justice system to hold elected officials accountable. Mayors have been indicted and convicted. So have governors: in fact, four of the past ten Illinois governors have gone to prison. Vice presidents, too, have been charged with crimes: Aaron Burr was indicted on two counts of murder in 1804 while still in office and was tried for treason afterward. And in 1973, Richard Nixon’s vice president Spiro Agnew resigned after pleading no contest to tax evasion to avoid prison time.
That Trump’s indictment is happening in New York has likely made it harder for Trump to drum up the mobs he has been inciting to defend him. New York City notoriously dislikes the former real estate man. Voters of Tomorrow official Victor Shi was at the Manhattan district attorney’s office this evening and found no one protesting. When people did show up, he tweeted, they were not Trump supporters. They were women carrying signs that said, “‘Trump is guilty’ and ‘The Time Is Now,’” he wrote. “People in the background are chanting, ‘Way to go, ladies!’ NYC is rejoicing.”
New York Times reporter Maggie Haberman, to whom Trump people feel comfortable talking, said that the Trump camp at Mar-a-Lago is “in…shock” at the news. They thought yesterday’s announcement that the grand jury will go on a break in early April indicated that nothing would happen before the jury reconvened. As Haberman points out, Trump has been afraid of indictments for many years, and while some speculate this indictment might help his political profile (I disagree with that, by the way), he is unhappy to see it finally arrive. He did, though, immediately start fundraising off it.
Trump also released quite a long, antisemitic statement blaming “Radical Left Democrats” for a “Witch-Hunt” and saying this is “blatant Election interference.” House speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) also quickly reinforced Trump's argument, saying that Bragg had “irreparably damaged our country in an attempt to interfere in our Presidential election,” and a number of other Republican officials reinforced that sentiment.
That is quite a position to take. The vote to indict came not from Bragg himself, but from a grand jury made up of ordinary Americans, and none of us knows what’s in the indictment, so one can hardly object to it in good faith.
CNN reporter Melanie Zanona reports that Trump has been working the phones tonight, reaching out to Republican allies to shore up support. Some of them, of course, are trying to discredit Bragg’s work by investigating him. Trump is at his company’s property in Florida, Mar-a-Lago. Florida governor Ron DeSantis echoed Trump’s antisemitism and accusations, tweeting that Florida would “not assist in an extradition request.” But Article IV, Section 2, of the United States Constitution says, “A Person charged in any State with Treason, Felony, or other Crime, who shall flee from Justice, and be found in another State, shall on Demand of the executive Authority of the State from which he fled, be delivered up, to be removed to the State having Jurisdiction of the Crime.”
So either DeSantis is planning to violate the Constitution, or he recognizes that Trump will probably return to New York voluntarily, or—and this is the most likely—he is posturing to pick up Trump voters while secretly rejoicing that this will likely make it harder for Trump to win the Republican presidential nomination. While all eyes were on Trump this evening, paperwork was filed in the Florida Senate to begin the process of revising election laws, possibly so that DeSantis can run for president without resigning as governor, as under current Florida law he must.
But there was something striking about Trump’s statement. In blaming the “Radical Left Democrats” for their “Witch-Hunt to destroy the Make America Great Again movement,” he wrote, “You remember it just like I do: Russia, Russia, Russia; the Mueller Hoax; Ukraine, Ukraine, Ukraine; Impeachment Hoax 1; Impeachment Hoax 2; the illegal and unconstitutional Mar-a-Lago raid; and now this.”
It's not a list to be proud of, but that wording—“you remember it just like I do”—jumped out. Trump always goes back to what he calls the Russia hoax, his second attempt to rewrite the way people thought about his presidency (the first was the size of the crowd at his inauguration).
From the very start of his presidency, when the Federal Bureau of Investigation caught Trump's then–national security advisor Michael Flynn lying about his contact with Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak, more and more information has come out tying the Trump campaign to Russian operatives. As it did, Trump insisted that his followers must believe that all that information was a lie. If they believed his lies rather than the truth over the Russia scandal, they would trust him rather than believe the truth about everything.
The 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine has given a new frame to Russia’s attempts to interfere in the 2016 election. A piece by Jim Rutenberg in the
New York Times Magazine in November 2022 pulled together testimony given both to the Mueller investigation and the Republican-dominated Senate Intelligence Committee, transcripts from the impeachment hearings, and recent memoirs. Rutenberg showed that in 2016, Russian operatives had presented to Trump advisor and later campaign manager Paul Manafort a plan “for the creation of an autonomous republic in Ukraine’s east, giving Putin effective control of the country’s industrial heartland, where Kremlin-armed, -funded, and -directed “separatists” were waging a two-year-old shadow war that had left nearly 10,000 dead.”
In exchange for weakening the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), undermining the U.S. stance in favor of Ukraine in its attempt to throw off the Russians who had invaded in 2014, and removing U.S. sanctions from Russian entities, Russian operatives were willing to put their finger on the scale to help Trump win the White House.
Rutenberg notes that Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine looks a lot like a way to achieve the plan it suggested in 2016 but, thanks to a different president in the U.S., that invasion did not yield the results Russian president Vladimir Putin expected. The Russian economy is crumbling, and Tuesday, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley told the Senate Armed Services Committee that Russia's Wagner group of mercenaries is "suffering an enormous amount of casualties in the Bakhmut area.” He called it a “slaughter-fest" for the Russians. Today, Putin issued an order to conscript another 147,000 soldiers by July 15.
Pressure on Putin continues to mount. The International Criminal Court’s March 17 arrest warrant against him and his children’s rights commissioner, Maria Lvova-Belova, for war crimes apparently caught Russian leadership by surprise. It isolates Russia and worries other Russian lawmakers that they will be charged as well, weakening their support for Putin. “Now proximity to the president isn’t just talk,” one political strategist said, “it’s a real step towards being prosecuted by international law enforcement.”
And President of the European Commission (which is the executive of the European Union) Ursula von der Leyen today warned that as the European Union rethinks its trade policies, China could find itself isolated as well if it continues to support Russia. “How China continues to interact with Putin’s war will be a determining factor for EU-China relations going forward,” she said.
Meanwhile, Turkey today dropped its opposition to Finland’s membership in NATO, a membership Finland has pursued in the wake of Russia’s recent aggression. Finland shares an 830-mile border with Russia, and now it will be part of NATO.
Under such pressure, Russia today took the extraordinary step of detaining American journalist Evan Gershkovich, a reporter for the
Wall Street Journal, accusing him of spying. Secretary of State Antony Blinken expressed deep concern and urged U.S. citizens living or traveling in Russia to “leave immediately.”
Yesterday, another study of the Russian invasion of Ukraine invited us to look backward as well as forward. Britain’s Royal United Services Institute, a government-affiliated think tank, released a report on Russia’s “covert and clandestine operations, psychological operations, subversion, sabotage, special operations and intelligence and counterintelligence activities” designed to destabilize Ukraine and take it over. The report’s focus was on the current war in Ukraine, but as Josh Kovensky of
Talking Points Memo notes, it establishes that some of the same people behind the destabilization of Ukrainian politics were part of Trump’s world. Notably, Russian operative Andrii Derkach not only worked to grab Ukraine for Russia, but also escorted Trump ally Rudy Giuliani around Ukraine in 2019 to dig up dirt on Biden.
In the end, as legal dominoes begin to fall, it might be that Americans do not, in fact, remember the history of his presidency from “Russia, Russia, Russia” forward the same way Trump does.
—
Notes:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/03/30/trump-ny-indictment/ https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/03/30/nyregion/trump-indictment-news https://www.kcra.com/article/what-are-grand-jury-indictments/43380155# https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/02/magazine/russiagate-paul-manafort-ukraine-war.html https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2023/03/30/trump-indictment-manhattan-grand-jury-haberman-reaction-vpx.cnn https://www.cnn.com/lo europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-03-30-23/h_7232bfde62d50e029e99d2a389bf8e46 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-30/putin-orders-to-draft-147-000-conscripts-by-july-15-kremlin https://www.illinoispolicy.org/4-of-illinois-past-10-governors-went-to-prison/ https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/trump-falls-under-the-shadow-of-spiro-agnew https://www.flsenate.gov/Session/Bill/2023/7050/?Tab=BillText https://meduza.io/en/feature/2023/03/23/like-a-slap-in-the-face https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/31/turkey-formally-approves-finlands-nato-membership.html https://www.politico.eu/article/eus-ursula-von-der-leyen-xi-jinping-calls-for pop-tougher-policy-on-china-ahead-of-beijing-visit/ https://static.rusi.org/202303-SR-Unconventional-Operations-Russo-Ukrainian-War-web-final.pdf.pdf https://talkingpointsmemo.com/prime/the-same-russian-agents-who-meddled-in-us-politics-set-the-stage-for-ukraine-invasion https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-economy-is-starting-to-come-undone-431a2878 https://www.state.gov/russias-arrest-of-a-u-s-citizen/ Too much breaking news on Twitter; I’ve gone over my space limit. So, on Twitter:
SecBlinken/status/1641479253874159635 MZanona/status/1641636032939433985 JoyceWhiteVance/status/1641278615122767875 Victorshi2020/status/1641567835448016896 GovRonDeSantis/status/1641575007552778243 ManhattanDA/status/1641579988360019968 meridithmcgraw/status/1641576453333499906 FLVoiceNews/status/1641597435725094912 submitted by
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2023.03.31 17:49 ParanormalM The Haunted Apartment: A Tale of Ghostly Encounters
In the summer of 1997, I moved into a small apartment in a downtown area of a large city. It was an old building, with creaky wooden floors and peeling wallpaper, but it was cheap and close to my job. At first, everything seemed fine. I unpacked my boxes and settled in, enjoying my newfound independence.
But after a few weeks, strange things started happening. It started with little things, like doors opening and closing by themselves, and objects moving when I wasn't looking. I brushed it off as my imagination or the wind, but as time went on, the occurrences became more frequent and more unsettling.
One night, as I was getting ready for bed, I heard footsteps in the hallway outside my bedroom. They were slow, deliberate steps, and they seemed to be coming closer and closer. I froze in fear, convinced that someone had broken into my apartment. But when I flung open the door, there was no one there.
Over the next few days, I started seeing strange shadows moving across the walls. They were human-like, but distorted and elongated, like something out of a horror movie. I tried to ignore them, but they were always there, lurking just beyond my peripheral vision.
One night, as I was lying in bed, I felt something sit down on the edge of the mattress. I was too scared to turn over and see what it was, but I could feel the weight of it pressing down on the mattress. I lay there, frozen in terror, until the weight lifted and the presence was gone.
By this point, I was convinced that my apartment was haunted. I started doing research on the building's history, and I discovered that it had been built in the early 1900s as a hotel for travelers passing through the city. Over the years, it had been converted into apartments, but rumors persisted that the hotel's original owner had died in one of the rooms.
I knew I had to do something to get rid of the ghostly presence in my apartment. I consulted with a spiritual advisor who recommended a series of rituals involving sage, salt, and prayers. I did everything she told me to do, and for a few days, it seemed like the apartment was back to normal.
But then, things took a turn for the worse. I started hearing whispers in my ear, and I felt cold spots in various parts of the apartment. Doors would slam shut by themselves, and the shadows on the walls became more menacing. I knew I had to leave, but I couldn't afford to break my lease.
Finally, one night, I woke up to find the ghostly figure standing at the foot of my bed. It was a tall, thin man with a gaunt face and sunken eyes. He didn't say anything, but I could feel his anger and his despair radiating off of him. I knew then that I had to get out of the apartment, no matter what the cost.
I moved out the next day, leaving most of my belongings behind. I never went back to the apartment, but I heard from a friend that the building had been condemned a few months later. The owners claimed that it was due to structural problems, but I knew better. The ghost of the hotel owner was still there, haunting the halls and scaring away anyone who dared to stay too long.
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2023.03.31 17:49 Inner_Coast7282 I was a Senior Group Leader (supervisor) at Elk River Treatment Program (2017-2019). This is my story.
I was young, out of college and ready to change the world. I wanted to inspire people. I wanted to help young kids make healthy decisions for the betterment of their own lives. My interview was basically a test run to see how intimidating I could be to the kids. I walked with a group and asked questions. Later the program director got me and said $27k a year and we shook hands. I started 3 days later. Again, I was young and eager. My first full day I saw not one, not two.. but three containments. The screams from those kids still haunt me. I kept going. I chose to be firm but fair with my designated group of kids because I wanted to be like a tough parent to them. Not derogatory in any way but very firm. I kept my promises always. Some kids didn’t like my style at first but they knew when I got to work we were going to have a good day. I didn’t believe in overkill punishments and made sure that every action had some type of good or bad consequence. Eventually everyone in my group graduated. I held off the record conversations with my group on how to get out of this hell hole and gave them an instruction book on how to beat this place. Essentially, keep your head down and fake it til you make it. I got approached about becoming a supervisor. I took the position. I had the same stance with my staff members as I did my group. Firm but fair. I wasn’t a popular SGL because of this. We weren’t going to cut corners with our daily schedule. With being an SGL I was placed with some of the tougher kids on campus (I.e. the ones most desperate to escape) and I was fought several times. Me being a larger person in stature and in good physical condition I was always called on to fight, or to chase down a runner or to go scavenging the woods to find someone that had wandered off. The stress took its toll on me. The kids that I did actually help escape this place were then all gone.. so the newer kids brought in only knew me as the guy that comes when trouble is happening. I hated this. I wanted to be a reliable person for these kids to count on, and I couldn’t. I would have gotten in trouble. My mental health started deteriorating after I was put in a position to contain a rather aggressive female client with severe PTSD from past sexual abuse. I did not want to do this. But the staff members refused and I had to. Those screams from this client will always haunt me. When I went home after this 15-17 hour workday I cried nonstop and even cried myself to sleep most nights because of this. During my time there my life had been threatened numerous times, I had been violently attacked more times than I can count, a client tried to commit suicide by jumping in a sinkhole and wrote my name down as the one person who tried to help her but couldn’t do enough. Eventually, the ever popular “treatment team” were tired of hearing my pleas for help and decided to put me on night shift. During this time a new night shift employee confided in me that they were a registered sex offender and we’re amazed they got the job. I made the directors aware and the scoffed and said that they do a very intensive background check. I told them to recheck his background and they did. That staff member was fired the next day for “kicking a kid while they were asleep.” I left shortly after this and went to a different job. Since then I have been terrified to give my story because I didn’t want to be labeled a monster and I was scared of retaliation by Karen Lee. Well here I am. I still have nightmares from this place and I still grip the steering wheel so tightly that my knuckles turn white. Some of you that mentioned this place I can tell who you are by what you have said. Just know I loved each and every one of you and I hope you are all doing well with your lives.
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2023.03.31 17:49 minebookme Business Ideas – Personal Shopping Service
| https://preview.redd.it/gzsz4i2vi3ra1.jpg?width=1350&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ea8a5929beb23fb7779159e1c7061d815b708f91 A personal shopping service is a distinctive and expanding business concept that provides clients with personalized shopping experiences based on their individual styles, interests, and spending limits. With the growth of e-commerce and the rising desire for personalized services, launching a shopping service that is personal may provide a successful and fulfilling employment opportunity. In this article, we will discuss business ideas for personal shopping services and the best personal shopping services. Must-Know Facts About Providing Personal Shopping Services Let’s look at some of the queries regarding personal shopping services. What Industry Is Personal Shopping? The retail and fashion industries include the service sector of personal shopping. Although they frequently work in shops or boutiques, personal shoppers can also freelance or offer their services online. The sector focuses on assisting people in locating and buying clothes and other items that are appropriate for their unique needs and preferences. Since consumers want more individualized and effective shopping experiences, the function of shoppers has grown in significance. What Are Online Personal Shopping Services? Online personal shopping services are digital platforms including virtual styling sessions, online shopping suggestions, subscriptions, personalized shopping portals, and wardrobe management programs that offer customers individualized buying recommendations. Online personal shopping services provide a simple and effective approach for customers to get tailored buying advice from the convenience of their own homes. Building The Best Personal Shopping Services If you are planning to build a business based on personal shopping services, your first priority should be building the best personal shopping services around your area. By doing this, you will never run out of clients and will have sufficient income to grow your business. What Are Luxury Personal Shopping Services? For clients looking for customized styling and wardrobe guidance, access to luxury brands, VIP treatment, tickets to special events, private shopping experiences, and other concierge services, luxury personal shopping services provide exclusive, high-quality shopping opportunities. For customers seeking the best in upscale clothes and individualized care, they offer an upgraded and unique shopping experience. Now you know about luxury personal shopping services. How To Start A Personal Shopping Service? In order to launch a personal shopping service, you must conduct market research, create a business plan, register your company, build a brand identity, build supplier connections, create a pricing strategy, market your service, deliver first-rate customer service, and continuously assess and improve your services. Hard work, devotion, and a readiness to change with the times are necessary for success. How To Price Personal Shopping Services? When deciding how much to charge for your personal shopping services, you should consider the following factors: the market, your experience, the amount of time and effort required, your expenses, and the value you bring to your customers. Provide a selection of different bundles, and be transparent about the prices. Price should be competitive, reasonable, and reflective of the quality of the product or service being offered. How Much Do You Charge For Personal Shopping? The cost of shopping services can be impacted by a variety of different aspects, such as the level of expertise of the shopper, the kind of service provided, and the total duration of the shopping trip. Rates for shoppers in the country often range anywhere from $120 to $200 per hour. It is essential to look around, compare the prices, and evaluate the services that various shoppers offer in order to pick the one that best meets your budget restrictions. What Are The Services Of A Personal Shopper? In order to assist clients in finding apparel and accessories that complement their individual tastes and needs, shoppers provide services like wardrobe inspection, personal styling, shopping assistance, special occasion styling, closet organizing, and personalized suggestions. What Is The Objective Of A Personal Shopper? A personal shopper’s objective is to assist clients in finding accessories that reflect their sense of style, physical characteristics, and needs. They make an effort to comprehend the interests, budgets, and lifestyles of their clients in order to make specific recommendations that satisfy their particular needs. The objective is to ensure that the client feels and looks their finest in their new clothes and accessories while also making the shopping experience joyful and stress-free. In general, a personal shopper strives to offer a high caliber of service that is customized to each client’s requirements and tastes. What Does A Personal Shopper For Women Do? Based on the client’s unique style, body shape, spending limit, and preferences, a personal shopper for women offers customized shopping experiences. Services could include advising on current fashion trends, personal shopping on special occasions, shopping trips, personalized style, and online buying assistance. In general, a personal shopper for women provides unique shopping experiences that consider each client’s needs and interests. How Do I Become A Freelance Personal Shopper? These are some actions you may do if you’re considering working as a freelance personal shopper: - Gaining expertise: Start by getting knowledge of the retail or fashion industries through school or job experience. You will gain the expertise and abilities necessary to be successful as a shopper as a result of this.
- Creating a portfolio: Make a portfolio of your work and include any experience or accomplishments that are pertinent. This will make your style and area of expertise clearer to prospective clients.
- Create a niche: Think about developing a niche, including styling for special occasions or assisting clients in creating capsule wardrobes. You’ll be able to stand out in a busy market with this.
- Create a network: Develop connections with customers, coworkers, and business associates. Utilize social media to interact with potential clients and display your work.
- Choose your prices: Establish your pricing approach based on your expertise, the services you provide, and local market prices.
- Promote yourself: To advertise your services and display your work, use online venues like social media and a personal website.
Conclusion Planning ahead, working hard, and a dedication to offering top-notch client service are all necessary when starting a personal shopping business. A personal shopping service that provides customers with a distinctive and personalized shopping experience can grow into a successful and lucrative business with the appropriate strategy and commitment. I hope you have got a clear understanding of the business ideas of personal shopping services by reading this article. submitted by minebookme to u/minebookme [link] [comments] |
2023.03.31 17:48 ourpseudonym US Banks Have $620 Billion of Unrealized Losses on Their Books, Most banks are strong enough to withstand the paper losses. Still, their finances could be squeezed for years to come.
From bloomberg, there is excellent graphics in the article I would recommend viewing:
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2023-svb-exposed-risks-banks/?srnd=premium#xj4y7vzkg The investment losses that helped take down Silicon Valley Bank are a problem, to one degree or another, across the US financial system. In total, the industry ended last year with $620 billion of unrealized losses on its books from investments in low-yielding bonds.
For most banks, the issue is manageable.
Bonds held in investment books represented less than a quarter of the banking system’s $23.6 trillion of assets in December, and unlike SVB, lenders usually have a wide array of depositors who are unlikely to all need money around the same time. For the biggest banks, the risks are even smaller. They are perceived as too big to fail. What’s more, the recent rally in the Treasury bond market — sparked, ironically, by the jitters about the health of the banking industry — is helping to shrink the $620 billion of paper losses. (In the coming weeks, banks will start to post first-quarter data.) Banks’ Equity Could Take Hit If Paper Losses Had to Be Realized For most banks, unrealized losses are a manageable problem. But investors and depositors remain jittery about lenders sitting on huge piles of money-losing bonds
And yet as depositors keep gradually withdrawing their money and shifting it into money market funds and other investments, banks are facing a squeeze. They’re being pressed to pay more for funding while their revenue is limited by the investments they made in low-yielding bonds during the pandemic. That in turn could curb their ability to lend to consumers and businesses, slowing the economy.
“They’re paying more for deposits, and their earnings on bonds are fixed,” said Stan August, a retired bank examiner for the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond and a former bond analyst at Bank of America. “That’s where the squeeze is.”
When the pandemic hit, and the Federal Reserve pushed down rates once again by pumping unprecedented amounts of cash into the economy, many banks loaded up on long-term government and mortgage-backed bonds. There were some Treasury notes that promised to pay annual interest of just 0.6% over 10 years.
Then inflation surged and the Fed started urgently driving up interest rates. The value of those bonds plunged, because who would want to buy an old bond paying 0.6% interest when new ones were suddenly paying more than 3%?
Losses on bonds are a risk whenever rates go up, but banks’ holdings were bigger than usual in 2022. All that cash the Fed and the government pushed into the economy quickly found its way into the banking system, giving lenders trillions of dollars to invest. SVB’s domestic deposits, for instance, rose more than 150% from the end of March 2020 through the end of 2022.
Rising deposits on their own don’t necessarily represent a problem for banks. For SVB, they spelled trouble in part because its clients tended to keep large balances at the bank as a condition for receiving services like lines of credit.
That translated to a high percentage of customers’ deposits being bigger than US deposit insurance limits. Clients with high balances at a bank are often skittish about the safety of their funds. and more likely to withdraw money fast at signs of trouble.
There were at least three data points for SVB that worried depositors: the speed at which the bank’s deposits had grown, the high percentage of uninsured deposits it had, and the magnitude of losses relative to its equity. These factors helped create a perfect storm.
But even for banks that dodge the storm, bond losses are a problem. A large part of banks’ investment portfolios use an accounting method called “held to maturity” that ensures the firms don’t have to record any losses, or any hits to their balance sheets, from the declining value of their bonds. But they also have to hold onto the bonds until they mature. Banks Locked Up Trillions in Long-Term Investments Total holdings, at amortized cost, in held-to-maturity securities for banks with at least $25 billion in assets as of Q4 2022
As banks’ deposits started to grow during the pandemic, they initially plowed more money into bonds using a method of accounting called “available for sale.” For these securities, changes in the value of the bonds would affect their balance sheets but not their income statements. That accounting method can force banks to boost their capital levels, though, if their losses get too high.
In 2021, a growing group of banks believed the Fed would soon begin raising interest rates and began switching to counting more of their bonds as held-to-maturity. The biggest banks added about $1.7 trillion of the bonds to their books over the two years ended in December. In some cases, they switched bonds over from one accounting treatment to the other. In other cases, they just stopped buying new available-for-sale securities and only added to their held-to-maturity books.
Initially it worked pretty well. Profits ballooned. The US banking system’s return on equity, a measure of profitability, averaged 12.2% in 2021, the highest since 2006.
But now that inflation and rate hikes have come, banks have suddenly been finding themselves pressured from two sides. Higher interest rates forced banks to pay more money to win deposits, with average one-year CD rates rising to about 2.7% by March, according to DepositAccounts, from 0.35% in May 2022. Consumers and companies have been taking more of their money out of banks and investing it in assets like government bonds. Deposits in commercial banks fell last year for the first time since 1948, according to the FDIC. The worst pain here is for community and regional banks, which lost $109 billion of deposits in the week ended March 15, while the biggest banks have been luring funds.
Meanwhile, the value of banks’ bond holdings plunged on paper too. The $620 billion of unrealized losses in the system at the end of 2022 were for available-for-sale and held-to-maturity securities.
The combination of surging interest rates, high investment losses and heavy deposit outflows is new for most investors and executives in the banking industry. To many, this feels like uncharted territory.
“I have covered this industry for 20 years plus and I have never seen anything like this,” said Ania Aldrich, an investment principal at Cambiar Investors. “In all the stress testing we have done for at least the largest banks have never stressed for anything like this.”
Comments from banks
Charles Schwab Bank & Charles Schwab Premier Bank
“Focusing attention on ‘unrealized losses’ in our held-to-maturity (HTM) portfolio is very misleading. These ‘paper losses’ are unrealized and would only be realized if we had to sell those securities. The profile of our depositors is very different from regional banks. Given our significant access to sources of liquidity, there is a near-zero chance we’d need to sell any of our HTM portfolio prior to maturity. That would be akin to assuming a large retail bank would sell a substantial portion of its loan portfolio... Client deposits may move, but they are not leaving the firm. As is the case in every cycle, clients make choices about where to best allocate their assets. As interest rates have increased over the last year, our clients have made choices to reallocate assets within their Schwab portfolios, to reflect their preferences in this market. And in fact, we have actively encouraged them to do so. The important point is that those allocation decisions result in the assets staying at Schwab. Despite the events of the last two weeks, we have not seen any meaningful change in client behavior regarding their cash… Comparing unrealized losses across firms with different business models can be misleading. Schwab Bank has a different business model than traditional banks. Our deposits come from transactional cash in clients’ brokerage accounts that is swept to our banks. We use about 10% of that cash to fund loans to our existing clients and with the remaining 90%, we buy securities – the vast majority of which are backed by the U.S. Government. With rates moving up, the fair value of all fixed rate assets — loans or securities — has gone down. But given that our securities are very high quality, we fully expect our securities to reach par at maturity, which means the unrealized ‘paper’ losses will decrease over time. Because a much higher percentage of our assets are securities — and traditional bank loans are not disclosed the same way — our paper losses may appear larger than those of traditional banks. But that assessment lacks the appropriate context. In reality, our portfolio has less credit risk and is actually less sensitive to changes in interest rates than many large banks,” Co-Chairmen Charles Schwab and Walt Bettinger said in a statement.
First National Bank of Pennsylvania
“Due to FNB’s conservative balance sheet and interest rate risk management leading into this higher rate environment, the duration and fair value marks of our AFS and HTM portfolios were more favorable than others in the industry. Even after fully incorporating these marks into our Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio, we would remain well capitalized. In addition, FNB has a stable and granular deposit base and maintains a strong liquidity position with uninsured deposits excluding fully collateralized balances at only 27% and has available funding sources in excess of those balances,” CEO Vincent J. Delie, Jr. said in a statement.
Prosperity Bank
“Prosperity Bank has a fortress balance sheet that is well suited for times like this. In fact, we were a source of strength in the 80’s and 2008, participating in six FDIC assisted transactions. We are a traditional community bank with a diverse loan portfolio and a granular deposit base amongst the many communities that we are in. We have close to 800,000 deposit accounts with an average balance of $36,000, our uninsured and uncollateralized deposits only make up 32% of our total deposits, we have access to large amounts of liquidity, and we are extremely well capitalized. We maintain higher tangible common equity ratios than many of the large money center banks and remain well capitalized even if you include any unrealized losses in the held-to-maturity portfolio. It has been our pleasure to serve the communities we are in and help our customers navigate and understand all that is happening in the banking markets,’’ Cullen Zalman, senior vice president for banking and corporate activities at Prosperity Bank, said in a statement.
USAA Federal Savings Bank
“USAA is a fundamentally different bank than those that have struggled over the past few weeks. Our bank is consumer based, 93% of deposits are within the applicable FDIC insurance limits, and we have access to substantial liquidity to serve the needs of our members. USAA FSB also goes through rigorous stress testing to help us best support our members. Focusing on any single asset class is misguided, given additional ways to evaluate bank balance sheets, like net interest trends, which highlight the efficiencies or inefficiencies across a bank’s entire balance sheet. The degree of changes in USAA’s unrealized bond holdings is a reflection of a relatively low loan-to-deposit ratio, which means investments are a larger part of our balance sheet and accounting value fluctuations are more noticeable. But not all banks and not all investment portfolios are the same. Unrealized bond losses do not create excess risk in institutions with a stable base of customers, a strong capital position, the ability to hold such bonds to maturity and access to the liquidity necessary to meet their depositors’ and borrowers’ needs.” First-Citizens Bank & Trust Co.
“First Citizens is a well-capitalized bank, and our post-acquisition capital ratios remain within or above our target ranges. In addition, the transaction is structured to maintain our position of strength with ample liquidity and credit loss protections. Our liquidity remains strong and stable driven by conservatively managed investment portfolio, and it is enhanced by this transaction.” First-Citizens Bank & Trust Co. acquired Silicon Valley Bank from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., though the sale did not include $90 billion in securities and other assets. Huntington National Bank
“Per the company’s 10K, 68% of deposits at Huntington are insured / 32% are uninsured as of December 31, 2022. This is the lowest % of uninsured deposits among all US based publicly traded banks with $50bn+ in deposits (excluding those classified primarily as card issuers). Huntington has an active hedging program for securities, and total FV marks net of hedges for all securities are in line with peers.”
Northern Trust Co.
“Northern Trust is a global provider of wealth management, asset servicing, asset management and banking to corporations, institutions, and individuals. Northern Trust has offices in the United States as well as 23 locations in Canada, Europe, the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region… Our clients leave large amounts of deposits with us not because we offer higher rates, but because they have significant payment activity. Over 60% of our institutional deposits are considered operational by regulatory standards… Northern Trust’s business model focuses on two core markets: institutions and wealthy individuals/families. These have been our historic strengths for generations. Retail banking represents a small percentage of our client base and an even smaller percentage of our assets on deposit, which in part accounts for the low percentage of insured deposits when compared with other banks that have significantly larger retail portfolios. Northern Trust is a Category II institution under the Federal Reserve’s regulatory framework. As a result, we are the only non G-SIB required to do daily liquidity testing and report unrealized losses in regulatory capital reporting. We consistently are assigned the highest long-term credit rating of any comparable U.S. institution. Northern Trust maintains a high-quality securities portfolio. Highly liquid assets constitute 62% of total client deposits as of Dec. 31, 2022. 81% of Northern Trust’s securities portfolio is composed of U.S. Treasury, government sponsored agency and triple-A rated securities. Regarding unrealized, mark-to-market HTM investment security losses as a percentage of tangible equity, it is important to note that our balance sheet composition has a lower proportion of loans, and thus our investment securities portfolio will be larger on both an absolute and percentage basis than banks with similar asset sizes.”
Banks that declined to comment:
Bank of America, First Republic Bank, JPMorgan Chase Bank, Truist Bank, US Bank, Valley National Bank and Wells Fargo Bank Banks that didn’t respond to requests for comment or did not have immediate comment when reached:
Associated Bank, City National Bank, Manufacturers & Traders Trust Co., Santander Bank, Signature Bank, Simmons Bank, State Street Bank & Trust Co., UBS Bank USA and Webster Bank
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2023.03.31 17:48 StepwiseUndrape574 Rockstar's GTA 5 Remaster For Xbox Series X And PS5 Gets A Confirmed Release Date
We now have an official launch date for the Xbox Series X/S and PlayStation 5 remasters of Grand Theft Auto 5 (GTA 5). Rockstar announced this morning in a blog that the remaster will arrive on November 11th, which is nearly six months away. While GTA 5 runs and still looks good on the newest consoles (if you can get one), there’s still plenty of room for improvement to take advantage of the hardware capabilities of these Ryzen 3000/RDNA 2-fueled gaming beasts. To that end, Take-Two boss Stauss Zelnick explained in early March that making a simple port just isn’t in Rockstar’s DNA when it comes to games.
“We’ve done [remastering] differently than the competition – we don’t just port titles over, we actually take the time to do the very best job we can making the title different for the new release, for the new technology that we’re launching it on,” said Zelnick at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference. “So, we improve the technology, we upgrade the visuals, and we make performance enhancements.
Play “I’m confident that Rockstar is going to deliver just a great experience, but you can’t do that if you’re just doing a simple port.”
Rockstar says that in addition to the visual enhancements, the GTA 5 remaster will also have “new features and more” that Xbox Series X/S and PlayStation 5 gamers can enjoy. “Plus, in honor of the upcoming 20th anniversary of the genre-defining Grand Theft Auto III, we’ll have even more fun surprises to share — including some specifically for GTA Online players,” Rockstar added.
GTA 5 has enjoyed a relatively long period of success and user engagement in the world of video games. The game initially launched in 2013 at the tail end of the Xbox 360/PlayStation 3 generation and flourished with the release of the Xbox One and PlayStation 4 families.
While the GTA 5 single-player campaign was praised for its gameplay, strong characters, and deeply engaging story, the game has really thrived thanks to its online components: GTA Online. GTA Online has become a cash cow for Take-Two, and Rockstar has understandably introduced continual updates to keep it fresh.
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2023.03.31 17:48 Jaded-West-1125 I’m getting married in 2 months and this guy that I’m attracted to at work keeps popping up in my dream like my 2nd lead in my drama dream.
Engaged nko when I got in my new job. Then may cutie sa work na I got attracted to. Di ko sya kinakausap na kwentuhan levels, like hi hello lang and pag need lang namin mag-usap for some data stuff. Since I was attracted to him, lagi ako nacoconscious how I look sa office and to him (i know this i bad). But I managed to put away that attraction kasi naging busy ako and para na akong nagccheat IMO so like wala na akong pake completely sa kanya. That’s when he shows up na in my dreams. And ang lagi role sa dreams ko is like my new guy (either nineneglect ako ni fiancè or nagbreak kami sa dream) pero like introduction phase pa lang, initial spark ganern.
One day, nagkatampuhan kami ng fiancè ko and kinagabihan nun, nasa dream ko ulit sya but more expressive na. Sa dream ko, umamin sya na he likes me also upon knowing na nagbreak kami ni fiancé.
Tbh wala na lang to sakin, coz i know it’s just a dream. I’m just pissed off sa utak ko for unraveling these thoughts. Ang lala pa ng timing kse mas dumadalas na nagkakausap kami ni koya for work and (shockingly) natuto na sya magpacute sakin lol. Parang namimikon ang universe. Mas lalo tuloy akong naguilty at napapray kay Lord to strengthen my faithfulness and keep away such thoughts :(
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2023.03.31 17:48 snaebjornah Extruding Problems
| my Ender 3 V2 isnt extruding properly and i think its the wheel that feeds the filament but cant find way to configure it. any advice? Backstory: started happening after i changed filament for the first time after finishing the first wheel of filament. after trying to deal with it the bowden tube started popping off and ppl on a facebook group helped me that i most likely broke the teeth holding the tube into the brass piece and that was indeed the case, got new part put the tube in and now it stopped popping out. tried a small print and it worked and now continued with my big project (34 piece that most pieces take over 14 hour each to do), it finished 95% then stopped printing (as shown in pic). i had no idea why so started another print and saw it extruding only what i could call leftovers of filament out of the nozzle. when i used my hands to help feed the filament in it started printing again properly but every time i let go the filament became weaker (as shown in pic, the proper lines is when i was pushing the filament in and weak lines when i let go) if i pull the filament down from the wheel it works somewhat so it makes me think the cog that grips the filament isnt getting a good enough grip to turn the heavy wheel of filament pulling it down and feeding it down the tube. this has been a week long plunder of trial and error and getting kinda desperate so any help is appreciated i googled and read that creality printers dont have screw that changes the spring that controls the tension of the feeder but saw that ppl use spacers they print to change the tension on the spring to make it grip harder, problem is i cant print atm to make that spacer, is there a way to make it grip better without printing or did i brake yet another part and have to replace it? or does this problem sound like some other part is the problem and i completely missed the mark on what the problem actually is? nozzle head temp 200 bed temp 65 https://preview.redd.it/q39qkz5di3ra1.jpg?width=1536&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ca0f5d50391afbff1756cf3e038e3d3bbff3cdb1 https://preview.redd.it/4qxv806di3ra1.jpg?width=942&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=342ecb88395146abe873ed7d8697c80a7c548a95 submitted by snaebjornah to FixMyPrint [link] [comments] |
2023.03.31 17:48 PritchettRobert506 [HIRING] 21 Jobs in NM Hiring Now!
Hey guys, here are some recent job openings in nm. Feel free to comment here or send me a private message if you have any questions, I'm at the community's disposal! If you encounter any problems with any of these job openings please let me know that I will modify the table accordingly. Thanks!
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2023.03.31 17:47 Clean_Environment670 Looking for hope from any other distance runners out there?
Hi all- I am about 14 weeks postpartum with my first child (I'm 36) and have a stage 1 cystocele and rectocele. Prolapse was my worst fear going into pregnancy because prior to conceiving I was a marathon runner (2 per year attempting to get one in every US state by the time I'm 50) and running is a huge part of my identity and happiness.
I'm currently in PT and she assures me I will marathon again and has me beginning to test the waters by running short amounts on the treadmill but my symptoms have been feeling worse as a result and I'm getting discouraged.
I know less than 4 months postpartum is not much (started PT at around 7 weeks postpartum) but I'm scared I'll never be able to just pop out the door for a long run when I feel like it. Or even just be able to poop normally without concentrating on doing everything right and micromanaging my fiber intake or taking miralax etc.
I had even dreamed of doing a 50k or even 50 miler someday and now I feel like I'm ruined. I love my baby but I wouldn't have chosen this path if I knew this would destroy me physically forever and that's a terrible feeling. I know it could be way worse but it's hard to stay positive sometimes.
Any success stories or hopes from other long distance runners with prolapse out there?
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2023.03.31 17:47 No_Competition4897 [HIRING] 25 Jobs in WA Hiring Now!
Hey guys, here are some recent job openings , feel free to comment here if you have any questions, I'm at the community's disposal! If you encounter any problems with any of these job openings please let me know that I will modify the table accordingly. Thanks!
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2023.03.31 17:47 Mediocre-Picture1663 How to find a path in mid life (or later lol) when you feel you're running out of time?
I have worked as a secretary or customer support for many years (I'm 52). I have found it VERY difficult to get a job making a "living wage" (for example, in my city in Canada it is hard to afford rent unless you make around $24/hour...I have 2 kids in school here and moving isn't currently an option). Stats:
- Single, rent an apartment with my 2 teens
-52
-Community college business diploma (from the early 90s)
-30 years of experience working secretarial positions (kept up to date with things like excel, canva, etc)
So yeah, it's not looking great. I have had a string of "crappy" jobs over the last 7 years. 2 of them were in a call center, and the current one is a secretarial job. I've not made above $21/hour in these positions but thankfully I have been able to cut down on other expenses to make it work.
My current position involves fairly long hours plus a commute, but I can't imagine doing it long-term for several reasons. 90% of the job could be easily done at home but they prefer having someone in-office, it's extremely isolated and a very depressing environment. There is also no room for growth and while I'm doing it for now, I'm afraid of wasting too much precious time stagnating here, no work-life balance, not much money....while I could be focusing on something that will provide me with a better future. At 52 I don't have a lot of time to play around or waste on the wrong thing.
I don't have any real retirement plan. No pension. A little bit of savings ($35,000). I assume I'll be working until I'm 70 at this rate (which is fine), but I am trying to figure out a path forward that will allow me to work remotely (I can imagine ageism will become more pronounced in the workplace as I get older...I had been thinking of stopping dying my long hair and letting the natural silver show, but I got scared that it would make me look OLD which isn't a good thing at work) and will pay enough for me to be able to afford life (and I already live very frugally).
At this point in my life obviously I don't have a lot of time to spend on mistakes (ex: going back to school for a couple of years only to discover it hasn't helped my situation). So I'm turning to you guys hoping for some guidance. I'm motivated and willing to learn or go to school or get a certificate or whatever is needed. I just to know where to focus. I've had several ideas and every time I try to do a deep dive into research I'm always disappointed to find that it probably won't be as much help as I had hoped (ex: CAD, Salesforce, Quickbooks....I even thought of becoming a waxer and renting a small room in a salon). Any help is SO appreciated.
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2023.03.31 17:47 dblack246 [Spoilers Published] About that event below Storm's End.
| "The seeing, the true seeing, that is the heart of it." -Syrio Forel Arya V, AGOT. If only it were this easy to see through a glamor. In book one, George is kind enough to give a guide to how to read the story by way of Syrio Forel. Syrio tells us there will be deceptions ahead and we have to see through these deceptions. "The cat was an ordinary cat, no more. The others expected a fabulous beast, so that is what they saw. How large it was, they said. It was no larger than any other cat, only fat from indolence, for the Sealord fed it from his own table. What curious small ears, they said. Its ears had been chewed away in kitten fights. And it was plainly a tomcat, yet the Sealord said 'her,' and that is what the others saw. Are you hearing?" Arya thought about it. "You saw what was there." "Just so." Id. If you've read some of my musing here and wondered why I think Quentyn wasn't burned by a dragon; Robb didn't name Jon heir, or Mance did not go to Winterfell to save Arya, it is because I am trying to spot whether George has taken an ordinary cat and convinced readers it is a fabulous beast. I think George has invited most readers to conclude they saw a fabulous beast below Storm's End in Davos II. I think instead of witnessing the birth of a shadow baby, we saw a well-executed, carefully crafted and expertly timed glamor. I am going to attempt to lay out why the event below Storm's End was a glamor. If you haven't already skipped to the comments to tell me this is unhinged tinfoil, thank you for that. It is always nice when people consider the argument before responding. I fully expect some passionate pushback on this one. As we were told in "They Live", people can be somewhat resistant to a new perspective. I do not mind if you disagree. Theories do not improve in echo chambers. I only ask that you consider the offerings and that your disagreement be polite and constructive. So, a quick recap for those who have not poured over Davos II, ACOK in a while. Following the death of Renly in Catelyn IV, ACOK, (and we will get to that because that is really important) Stannis is camped outside of Storm's End demanding the castle and Edric Storm. Ser Courtnay Penrose refuses. Ser Cortnay did not seem surprised. "Is it the justice of your cause you doubt, my lord, or the strength of your arm? Are you afraid I'll piss on your burning sword and put it out?" "Do you take me for an utter fool, ser?" asked Stannis. "I have twenty thousand men. You are besieged by land and sea. Why would I choose single combat when my eventual victory is certain?" The king pointed a finger at him. "I give you fair warning. If you force me to take my castle by storm, you may expect no mercy. I will hang you for traitors, every one of you." "As the gods will it. Bring on your storm, my lord—and recall, if you do, the name of this castle." Ser Cortnay gave a pull on his reins and rode back toward the gate. Stannis then speaks with Davos about the matter with Melisandre present. Melisandre sees that Stannis trusts Davos. Davos had come too far with Stannis to play coy now. "Last year they were Robert's men. A moon ago they were Renly's. This morning they are yours. Whose will they be on the morrow?" And Stannis laughed. A sudden gust, rough and full of scorn. "I told you, Melisandre," he said to the red woman, "my Onion Knight tells me the truth." "I see you know him well, Your Grace," the red woman said. Stannis tells Davos of Melisandre's vision as well as the need to take the Castle. Davos Seaworth felt the small hairs rising on the back of his neck. "My lord, I do not understand you." "I do not require your understanding. Only your service. Ser Cortnay will be dead within the day. Melisandre has seen it in the flames of the future. His death and the manner of it. He will not die in knightly combat, needless to say." Stannis held out his cup, and Devan filled it again from the flagon. "Her flames do not lie. She saw Renly's doom as well. On Dragonstone she saw it, and told Selyse. Lord Velaryon and your friend Salladhor Saan would have had me sail against Joffrey, but Melisandre told me that if I went to Storm's End, I would win the best part of my brother's power, and she was right." Davos offers some protest, but he does not refuse his king. "I must have the boy, Davos. Must. Melisandre has seen that in the flames as well." Davos groped for some other answer. "Storm's End holds no knight who can match Ser Guyard or Lord Caron, or any of a hundred others sworn to your service. This single combat . . . could it be that Ser Cortnay seeks for a way to yield with honor? Even if it means his own life?" A troubled look crossed the king's face like a passing cloud. "More like he plans some treachery. There will be no combat of champions. Ser Cortnay was dead before he ever threw that glove. The flames do not lie, Davos." Yet they require me to make them true, he thought. It had been a long time since Davos Seaworth felt so sad. Keep in mind that Davos is required here. Put a pin in that for now we'll get back to that. Shortly thereafter, Davos sails then rows Melisandre beneath the walls of Storm's End. While they row there, they speak of other deaths Davos has connected to Melisandre. "Yet you mean to kill a man tonight," he said. "As you killed Maester Cressen." "Your maester poisoned himself. He meant to poison me, but I was protected by a greater power and he was not." "And Renly Baratheon? Who was it who killed him?" Her head turned. Beneath the shadow of the cowl, her eyes burned like pale red candle flames. "Not I." "Liar." Davos was certain now. Melisandre laughed again. "You are lost in darkness and confusion, Ser Davos." So Davos has some interesting thoughts here. He thinks Melisandre came here to kill Penrose though she did not say this. He believes she killed Cressen and Renly though she denies it. Davos without any real evidence other than proximity, blames Melisandre for events. This is not an uncommon mistake. Story characters do this all the time and people reading the story do the same. This is human nature. Mel claims she needs to be inside the walls of Storm's End. Together they tied off the sail as the boat rocked beneath them. As Davos unshipped the oars and slid them into the choppy black water, he said, "Who rowed you to Renly?" "There was no need," she said. "He was unprotected. But here . . . this Storm's End is an old place. There are spells woven into the stones. Dark walls that no shadow can pass—ancient, forgotten, yet still in place." When they arrive beneath Storm's End... "Have we passed within the walls?" "Yes. Beneath. But we can go no farther. The portcullis goes all the way to the bottom. And the bars are too closely spaced for even a child to squeeze through." There was no answer but a soft rustling. And then a light bloomed amidst the darkness. Davos raised a hand to shield his eyes, and his breath caught in his throat. Melisandre had thrown back her cowl and shrugged out of the smothering robe. Beneath, she was naked, and huge with child. Swollen breasts hung heavy against her chest, and her belly bulged as if near to bursting. "Gods preserve us," he whispered, and heard her answering laugh, deep and throaty. Her eyes were hot coals, and the sweat that dappled her skin seemed to glow with a light of its own. Melisandre shone. Panting, she squatted and spread her legs. Blood ran down her thighs, black as ink. Her cry might have been agony or ecstasy or both. And Davos saw the crown of the child's head push its way out of her. Two arms wriggled free, grasping, black fingers coiling around Melisandre's straining thighs, pushing, until the whole of the shadow slid out into the world and rose taller than Davos, tall as the tunnel, towering above the boat. He had only an instant to look at it before it was gone, twisting between the bars of the portcullis and racing across the surface of the water, but that instant was long enough. He knew that shadow. As he knew the man who'd cast it. And shortly after this event we learn Penrose died. "Why no, I trust you implicitly." A bitter laugh echoed off the shuttered windows. "I trust you like one of my own blood, in truth. Now tell me how Cortnay Penrose died." "It is said that he threw himself from a tower." So there are several possible theories about how Penrose died. The first theory--and by far the most popular-- is that the shadow Davos saw threw Penrose over the walls. And yes, that is a theory because we do not see the shadow do anything and therefore we can't point to text to clearly state this shadow is real. A second theory--one I have not even seen Preston Jacobs offer--is the shadow Davos saw was nothing more than a glamor and Penrose was killed by some other act. I believe the second theory is the more likely of the two to be true. And I will offer why herein. Why I think it was a glamor So after seeing a shadow kill Renly in the Catelyn POV, and seeing Melisandre give birth to a shadow that entered Storm's End, and learning that Penrose was thrown over the walls I am going to argue that what Davos saw was a glamor? Yes, I am. Glamors are a major story plot point as are the varying levels of success characters have with spotting glamors. Characters and readers are given several clues on how to spot glamors and I think if we apply those lessons to what we see below Storm's End, we can make a strong argument that this was a glamor. I am not here to convince you I got this right. The only purpose of this post is to share my thoughts and perhaps get a few of you to consider whether the fantastic beast the author offered you was actually something less spectacular. If after reading and considering, you are convinced the shadow beneath Storm's End was real, that is fine. You might even be right. It is just a theory I have that I offer for your consideration. Melisandre and glamors So any argument that the Storm's End event could be a glamor must start with a good understanding of what glamors are, how they operate and their limitations. After trying to define the elements of a glamor as presented to us in the text, I will see if that is consistent with what Davos sees below Storm's End. As Syrio explained to Arya (and to us readers), a glamor gives the appearance of something present that is not really there. People with sharp eyes can see through glamors. This position is repeated to Arya (and the readers) by the Kindly Man. "Mummers change their faces with artifice," the kindly man was saying, "and sorcerers use glamors, weaving light and shadow and desire to make illusions that trick the eye. These arts you shall learn, but what we do here goes deeper. Wise men can see through artifice, and glamors dissolve before sharp eyes" The Ugly Little Girl, ADWD. Melisandre also acknowledges that glamors are a trick of the visual and they are not foolproof. "The spell is made of shadow and suggestion. Men see what they expect to see. The bones are part of that." Was I wrong to spare this one? "If the glamor fails, they will kill you." Melisandre, ADWD. Her line about men seeing what they expect to see is important. This does not just apply to story characters. I think it can be applied to readers as well. We will get back to this. You'll recall before she showed the crowd at Dragonstone a glamored sword, she told them they would see a sword of fire. Melisandre was robed all in scarlet satin and blood velvet, her eyes as red as the great ruby that glistened at her throat as if it too were afire. "In ancient books of Asshai it is written that there will come a day after a long summer when the stars bleed and the cold breath of darkness falls heavy on the world. In this dread hour a warrior shall draw from the fire a burning sword. And that sword shall be Lightbringer, the Red Sword of Heroes, and he who clasps it shall be Azor Ahai come again, and the darkness shall flee before him." She lifted her voice, so it carried out over the gathered host. "Azor Ahai, beloved of R'hllor! The Warrior of Light, the Son of Fire! Come forth, your sword awaits you! Come forth and take it into your hand!" [...] "A sword of fire!" shouted Queen Selyse. Ser Axell Florent and the other queen's men took up the cry. "A sword of fire! It burns! It burns! A sword of fire!" Melisandre lifted her hands above her head. "Behold! A sign was promised, and now a sign is seen! Behold Lightbringer! Azor Ahai has come again! All hail the Warrior of Light! All hail the Son of Fire!" Davos I, ACOK. So we know when dealing with Melisandre, we should always question whether a glamor is in play because it is one of the tools in her bag and she is very good at using them to get what she wants. With that in mind, let's discuss the limitations of glamors. We know glamors can dissolve before sharp eyes as Arya who was trained by Syrio to see through glamors demonstrates. "Let us see." The priest lowered his cowl. Beneath he had no face; only a yellowed skull with a few scraps of skin still clinging to the cheeks, and a white worm wriggling from one empty eye socket. "Kiss me, child," he croaked, in a voice as dry and husky as a death rattle. Does he think to scare me? Arya kissed him where his nose should be and plucked the grave worm from his eye to eat it, but it melted like a shadow in her hand. The yellow skull was melting too, and the kindliest old man that she had ever seen was smiling down at her. "No one has ever tried to eat my worm before," he said. "Are you hungry, child?" Arya I, AFFC. Also important to note is that because glamors only impact the visual sense, when other senses come to bear, you start to question what you see. Davos knelt, and Stannis drew his longsword. Lightbringer, Melisandre had named it; the red sword of heroes, drawn from the fires where the seven gods were consumed. The room seemed to grow brighter as the blade slid from its scabbard. The steel had a glow to it; now orange, now yellow, now red. The air shimmered around it, and no jewel had ever sparkled so brilliantly. But when Stannis touched it to Davos's shoulder, it felt no different than any other longsword. "Ser Davos of House Seaworth," the king said, "are you my true and honest liege man, now and forever?" Davos IV, ASOS. Those who do not rely on the visual aren't so easily fooled. The king frowned. "Everyone else has seen the thing, why not a blind man?" His swordbelt and scabbard hung from a peg near the hearth. He took the belt down and drew the longsword out. Steel scraped against wood and leather, and radiance filled the solar; shimmering, shifting, a dance of gold and orange and red light, all the bright colors of fire. "Tell me, Samwell." Maester Aemon touched his arm. "It glows," said Sam, in a hushed voice. "As if it were on fire. There are no flames, but the steel is yellow and red and orange, all flashing and glimmering, like sunshine on water, but prettier. I wish you could see it, Maester." [...] Maester Aemon was lost in thought as Sam helped him down the narrow turnpike stair. But as they were crossing the yard, he said, "I felt no heat. Did you, Sam?" "Heat? From the sword?" He thought back. "The air around it was shimmering, the way it does above a hot brazier." "Yet you felt no heat, did you? And the scabbard that held this sword, it is wood and leather, yes? I heard the sound when His Grace drew out the blade. Was the leather scorched, Sam? Did the wood seem burnt or blackened?" "No," Sam admitted. "Not that I could see." Samwell V, ASOS. Maester Aemon is telling us that a glamor can have no impact on the physical. There will be nothing to feel, it will leave no marks on the environment. It is strictly a thing of the visual. Which is why Mel insists Mance wear those bones. Melisandre felt the warmth in the hollow of her throat as her ruby stirred at the closeness of its slave. "You have put aside your suit of bones," she observed. "The clacking was like to drive me mad." "The bones protect you," she reminded him. "The black brothers do not love you. Devan tells me that only yesterday you had words with some of them over supper." Melisandre, ADWD. And... Every day I think how easy it would be to pry it out, and every day I don't. Must I wear the bloody bones as well?" "The spell is made of shadow and suggestion. Men see what they expect to see. The bones are part of that." Was I wrong to spare this one? "If the glamor fails, they will kill you." Id. The bones are important to the Rattleshirt glamor because everyone expects to hear the clacking of the bone armor. When things are different from what is expected, keen minds notice. One time Arya woke in the dark, frightened for no reason she could name. Above, the Red Sword shared the sky with half a thousand stars. The night seemed oddly quiet to her, though she could hear Yoren's muttered snores, the crackle of the fire, even the muffled stirrings of the donkeys. Yet somehow it felt as though the world were holding its breath, and the silence made her shiver. She went back to sleep clutching Needle. Come morning, when Praed did not awaken, Arya realized that it had been his coughing she had missed. Arya II, ACOK. Mel wants Mance to wear the bones to keep people from looking closer. Jon almost noticed something was off with the fRattleshirt when they fought in the yard. But Jon has not been trained to see through glamors as George has tried to train we readers. The point of all these citations is to make it clear that you can spot a glamor by looking for evidence beyond the visual. If the only proof a thing is present is that you see a thing, you might want to look closer especially if it involves a known glamor caster. George has consistently showed us via Aemon's questioning of Lightbringer and Arya's grabbing the worm, that physical impact matters. And this is also the approach he took with the Renly event. The Renly Shadow In my informal discussions on the subject, the response I get most often to the suggestion that the Storm's End shadow is glamor is "what killed Renly then?" This is an excellent question and one we must look at because I think the details of the Renly event really help us understand why the Storm's End event might just be a light show. Here is the relevant text from the Renly event. "I beg you in the name of the Mother," Catelyn began when a sudden gust of wind flung open the door of the tent. She thought she glimpsed movement, but when she turned her head, it was only the king's shadow shifting against the silken walls. She heard Renly begin a jest, his shadow moving, lifting its sword, black on green, candles guttering, shivering, something was queer, wrong, and then she saw Renly's sword still in its scabbard, sheathed still, but the shadowsword . . . "Cold," said Renly in a small puzzled voice, a heartbeat before the steel of his gorget parted like cheesecloth beneath the shadow of a blade that was not there. He had time to make a small thick gasp before the blood came gushing out of his throat. Catelyn IV, ACOK. This was no glamor. We know this because in addition to Cat and Brienne seeing it, the shadow had a clear impact on the physical world. George writes that the shadow entered the tent with a parting of the tent door, then when it was near Renly he felt cold and finally we saw the shadow rip through a steel gorget and open Renly's throat. We are also told Stannis has a telepathic link to the shadow that killed Renly. For a long time the king did not speak. Then, very softly, he said, "I dream of it sometimes. Of Renly's dying. A green tent, candles, a woman screaming. And blood." Stannis looked down at his hands. "I was still abed when he died. Your Devan will tell you. He tried to wake me. Dawn was nigh and my lords were waiting, fretting. I should have been ahorse, armored. I knew Renly would attack at break of day. Devan says I thrashed and cried out, but what does it matter? It was a dream. I was in my tent when Renly died, and when I woke my hands were clean." Davos II, ACOK. So I will say unequivocally that a real shadow assassin with the face of Stannis killed Renly. I am not arguing against that or denying that. However, this does not mean Melisandre birthed the shadow that killed Renly. Melisandre kinda tells on herself in the next book. "No." Perhaps he should have lied, and told her what she wanted to hear, but Davos was too accustomed to speaking truth. "You are the mother of darkness. I saw that under Storm's End, when you gave birth before my eyes." "Is the brave Ser Onions so frightened of a passing shadow? Take heart, then. Shadows only live when given birth by light, and the king's fires burn so low I dare not draw off any more to make another son. It might well kill him." Melisandre moved closer. "With another man, though . . . a man whose flames still burn hot and high . . . if you truly wish to serve your king's cause, come to my chamber one night. I could give you pleasure such as you have never known, and with your life-fire I could make . . ." ". . . a horror." Davos retreated from her. "I want no part of you, my lady. Or your god. May the Seven protect me." Melisandre drew of enough light to make at least one son from Stannis likely the one that killed Renly. She claims she can make more with another man, but if that is the case, why aren't there an army of them? There is no lack of men who would want to bed Melisandre either for pleasure or to serve the Red God. Why are there not more shadows? I think it is because she is not the one with the power; it's Stannis ( We will get to that part of the theory in a bit). I know. You are like "What?! Obviously she did. She is a shadow binder from the West and we see her giving birth. We can put two and two together. We don't need to see it." I am not suggesting any of you lack the ability to put two and two together. That would be rude and insulting and I am not fond of such discourse. I will however suggest that maybe what you think are two and two aren't two and two because even if the Renly tent shadow is a two, when you do a side-by-side with the Strom's end shadow... well that thing is too different to be a two. The Renly tent shadow: - is of normal size;
- opens a tent door;
- brings a feeling of cold;
- tears open steel;
- kills on site;
- looks like Stannis;
- seems to have a telepathic bond with Stannis; and
- We have no direct knowledge of where this thing came from.
The Storm's End shadow: - Is notably larger;
- Slithers around gates;
- Gives Davos no feeling of cold;
- Isn't observed making any impact on the environment;
- Does not kill with a stab on site;
- Is directly summon by a glamor caster with a shock of blinding light after she reached into her robes where she tells us she keep special powders that make things appear greater than they are; and
- has the face of Stannis.
So yes, two plus two is four. But since that Renly tent shadow is way different from the Storm's End shadow, are we sure they are both twos? If the Storm's end event ain't a two, then our conclusion of four is flawed. But if you think the shadow below Storm's end was real, just go and apply the basic glamor test that Maester Aemon gives us and find any physical evidence that the Storm's End shadow was there beyond the half blinded visuals of Davos. Why would George when writing the Storm's End event leave out all opportunities to demonstrate a single impact on the physical when he spent text space making that an issue with Lightbringer, Mance and the Renly event? Was it an oversight or a clue? So what killed Penrose? Penrose was tossed over the walls of Storm's End. I am not denying that. I also will not argue that he felt despair and decided to kill himself. He seems pretty confident when he meets with Stannis. "As the gods will it. Bring on your storm, my lord—and recall, if you do, the name of this castle." Ser Cortnay gave a pull on his reins and rode back toward the gate. Davos II, ACOK. Ser Cortnay does not sound all that worried about the Castle being stormed or a long siege. That castle can't be breached by an army of any size. And if the granaries are full which they should be after such a long and bountiful summer, he could hold up inside for years. So what killed him in one night if not the shadow assassin Davos saw? My theory is a mutiny by someone already inside. And why a mutiny? "I give you fair warning. If you force me to take my castle by storm, you may expect no mercy. I will hang you for traitors, every one of you." -The Mannis. Because it is Stannis outside the gates. And he is the man stubborn enough to sit there a decade if he needed to. And the moment the last starving man gives in, he'd take the castle and hang that last man. Everyone knows this about Stannis. Moreover, with Renly and Robert dead, Storm's End passes to him anyway. Robert gave it to Renly and Renly had no heir. Robert is dead. Stannis is the last living Baratheon so it is his by law. All it would take was one or two men inside the castle who decided they were not about to die for the whims of a castellan who wanted to withhold the castle from the rightful lord. Men generally don't want to die for no good purpose isn't that right Dagon Cod? He is drunk, Reek realized. The ale is speaking. "Believe what you want. I have brought Lord Ramsay's message. Now I must return to him. We'll sup on wild boar and neeps, washed down with strong red wine. Those who come with me will be welcome at the feast. The rest of you will die within a day. The Lord of the Dreadfort will bring his knights up the causeway, whilst his son leads his own men down on you from the north. No quarter will be granted. The ones that die fighting will be the lucky ones. Those who live will be given to the bog devils." "Enough," snarled Dagon Codd. "You think you can frighten ironborn with words? Begone. Run back to your master before I open your belly, pull your entrails out, and make you eat them." He might have said more, but suddenly his eyes gaped wide. A throwing axe sprouted from the center of his forehead with a solid thunk. Codd's sword fell from his fingers. He jerked like a fish on a hook, then crashed face-first onto the table. It was the one-armed man who'd flung the axe. As he rose to his feet he had another in his hand. "Who else wants to die?" he asked the other drinkers. "Speak up, I'll see you do." Thin red streams were spreading out across the stone from the pool of blood where Dagon Codd's head had come to rest. "Me, I mean to live, and that don't mean staying here to rot." Reek II, ADWD. All it takes is one man who isn't willing to die and someone else can take charge and open the gates. "Then hear me. Ser Cortnay's lieutenant is cousin to the Fossoways. Lord Meadows, a green boy of twenty. Should some ill chance strike down Penrose, command of Storm's End would pass to this stripling, and his cousins believe he would accept my terms and yield up the castle." Davos II, ACOK. Garrison duty is usually left to green boys who lack the experience to go to war or grey beards who are long in service. The green boys do not want to die and the old men have served too long to know anything but obedience. Either could have turned on Penrose. That makes more sense than a shadow that finds Penrose in the huge castle then pushes Penrose over the walls rather than just stabbing him like the Renly shadow did. Why would the shadow throw him off the walls? There is no reason for Penrose to go up there. So the shadow would have to drag him up there. Nobody saw this or heard this? Anyway the point here is, there remains no evidence the shadow at Storm's End did anything. If Mel can see the future as she claims, she may have seen the mutiny in her fires and simply positioned herself to take credit for something she had nothing to do with. Why would Mel bother with such a ruse? Since Melisandre was introduced in ACOK, only two people who Stannis respects and trusts have spoken against her. Cressen and Davos. Cressen is dead which leave Davos as the last person who could speak against her. Mel knows this. Davos had come too far with Stannis to play coy now. "Last year they were Robert's men. A moon ago they were Renly's. This morning they are yours. Whose will they be on the morrow?" And Stannis laughed. A sudden gust, rough and full of scorn. "I told you, Melisandre," he said to the red woman, "my Onion Knight tells me the truth." "I see you know him well, Your Grace," the red woman said. Davos II, ACOK. I theorize Mel wanted to get Davos alone to try and convince him or her power because if he was on her side, she would have less opposition. This could not be as simple as summoning Davos to her tent to witness the birth. For one, Davos would refuse anyone but Stannis. The king gave a curt nod. "You will need a small boat. Not Black Betha. No one must know what you do." Davos wanted to protest. He was a knight now, no longer a smuggler, and he had never been an assassin. Yet when he opened his mouth, the words would not come. This was Stannis, his just lord, to whom he owed all he was. And he had his sons to consider as well. Gods be good, what has she done to him? Id. Also of note is Stannis saying no one must know. Stannis also tells Davos that Melisandre has already seen Penrose's death. She likely also told him what she needed to ensure this. She requested Davos and to be alone with him. The best way to do this was to get him involved in something only he could do. The Lightbringer show worked on the others, but Davos required something more intimate. So she got him alone and showed him a form he knows well and respects: a woman great with child. Davos has seven sons by his wife. He knows the power of the form of an expecting mother. "Power resides where men believe it resides. No more and no less." Davos believes in the power of seas, ships, sons and Stannis. All four of the pillars of his beliefs are exploited by Melisandre here. Speaking of exploiting the audience. George set this up brilliantly I think George enjoys tricking his readers. He often uses very careful and cryptic language when discussing plot elements, which is why I generally steer well clear of SSM. He does the same with his writing though. Here is how the set up for us to reach a bad conclusions works (I theorize). George first introduces us to the idea of shadows assassins with the event in Renly's tent. We only see the shadow and the impact it has. We don't how it came to be and we are hungry for an answer. A few POV's later we are given an option for the solution. And in our understandable desire to have an answer, we take the first option without questioning it's validity. And in doing so, we do not consider other possibilities. The first offered answer might not be the correct one. Narrative purpose One of the things I learned from mu Quentyn discussions is when confronted with a challenge to the accustomed interpretation of the story, readers want to know what the narrative purpose of the challenge is. It is a fine and fair inquiry. I generally don't like to get into it because narrative purpose is a weathervane and each reader provides their own wind. Everyone approaches this story in a unique way and this is a wonderful thing. If we all had the same view, what would be the point of this subreddit and it's 800k members? So, I am not going to get into the subjective nature of what each of thinks is the correct narrative purpose. However, I think there are some objective elements we can discuss. George put glamors in the story as a purposeful choice. He took the time to tell us about glamors, how to spot them, he has revealed some to us and left some for us to puzzle out on our own. George is writing a narrative full of misdirection and apparent contradictions. I think we should look out for them. George has made Davos' guilt over his involvement in this an important plot point in the Davos POV. She laughed. "Is it me you fear? Or what we do?" "What you do. I'll have no part of it." "Your hand raised the sail. Your hand holds the tiller." Davos II, ACOK. And... Silent, Davos tended to his course. The shore was a snarl of rocks, so he was taking them well out across the bay. He would wait for the tide to turn before coming about. Storm's End dwindled behind them, but the red woman seemed unconcerned. "Are you a good man, Davos Seaworth?" she asked. Would a good man be doing this? "I am a man," he said. "I am kind to my wife, but I have known other women. I have tried to be a father to my sons, to help make them a place in this world. Aye, I've broken laws, but I never felt evil until tonight. I would say my parts are mixed, m'lady. Good and bad." Id. And George touches on this guilt again in ASOS. Perhaps it was only wind blowing against the rock, or the sound of the sea on the shore, but for an instant Davos Seaworth heard her answer. "You called the fire," she whispered, her voice as faint as the sound of waves in a seashell, sad and soft. "You burned us . . . burned us . . . burrrrned usssssss." "It was her!" Davos cried. "Mother, don't forsake us. It was her who burned you, the red woman, Melisandre, her!" He could see her; the heart-shaped face, the red eyes, the long coppery hair, her red gowns moving like flames as she walked, a swirl of silk and satin. She had come from Asshai in the east, she had come to Dragonstone and won Selsye and her queen's men for her alien god, and then the king, Stannis Baratheon himself. He had gone so far as to put the fiery heart on his banners, the fiery heart of R'hllor, Lord of Light and God of Flame and Shadow. At Melisandre's urging, he had dragged the Seven from their sept at Dragonstone and burned them before the castle gates, and later he had burned the godswood at Storm's End as well, even the heart tree, a huge white weirwood with a solemn face. Davos I, ASOS. I found Davos I, ASOS one of the most powerful chapters he's written. Does this section of ASOS work unless Davos is struggling with his guilt and feeling complicit in all the death that has taken place? So even if you fine redditor do not see the sense in having Davos row Melisandre under Storm's End, George wanted him there and wanted him feeling guilt and conflict over it. And George used that conflict later. Another narrative purpose for the Storm's End event being a glamor is that is could serve as a distraction from another plot George is not ready to reveal, such as Stannis having special abilities like we see in the Starks, Targaryens, and other wargs. Mel claims there is power in king's blood. Stannis does have king's blood. And Stannis is a distant relation to the Targaryens who also have special abilities related to there genetics. Some of that ability may be within Stannis and all Melisandre did was help unlock it while he slept. A person with latent powers they are unable to unlock consciously is something George has written about in his other works. George borrows heavily from his other works elsewhere in ASOIAF. One more thing, George's favorite science fiction film is Forbidden Planet. In this movie, one of the characters is able to summon telekinetic a manifestation of his id while he sleeps to kill his rivals. It may be that George had Stannis do exactly that. In Conclusion Even if you conclude the Storm's End event was not a glamor (it is fine if you do. I might be wrong), I think it is wise to at least question the event because if it was a glamor below Storm's end, then this opens a number of new possibilities for the story. I think this story is deserving of applying the lesson at Syrio Forel offered. "Opening your eyes is all that is needing. The heart lies and the head plays tricks with us, but the eyes see true. Look with your eyes. Hear with your ears. Taste with your mouth. Smell with your nose. Feel with your skin. Then comes the thinking, afterward, and in that way knowing the truth." Arya V, AGOT. When we apply senses other than the visual to the event below Storm's End and then really think about it from the perspective of touch, sound and smell, are we still sure that our eyes alone told us the truth? But what say ye fine Redditors? Is the event below Storm's End worthy of closer inspection? Is the choice by George to exclude any physical evidence of the shadow a clue to this being a glamor from a known glamor caster? As always, polite disagreement and constructive feedback are always welcome. TL;DR: The commonly accepted position on the event below Storm's End in Davos II, ACOK may be incorrect. There are a number of inconsistencies between the shadow that killed Renly and the one that Davos sees below Storm's End. These inconsistencies should not be dismissed. It is highly possible that the event below Storm's End was a glamor cast by a known glamor caster. submitted by dblack246 to asoiaf [link] [comments] |
2023.03.31 17:47 TonysYeyo How do I tell my new employer I need a later start date?
About a month ago, I had an interview for a job I was offered. When asked when I could start, I told them I could start in a month on April 3rd. Well, I’ve had a few different ‘life’ scenarios take place over the past couple of weeks, including the passing of my girlfriend’s grandfather (has been very hard on her), scheduling issues at my current job, mental health struggles, as well as other stressors. How do I tell the new employer I need some more time before I start without losing the job? I really just need another 30 days.
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2023.03.31 17:46 FictionalPanda17 new to sr, not sure on what to do and how to deal with money.
Hey there everyone, I've been dating a lady (39) since April last year but took things further in December when I turned 18. So, it started out with no sugar aspect involved as a normal cougacub thing as she was growing distant from her husband due to the fact that he's like 90% of the time away for one reason or another and she knows he was cheating regardless, but she doesn't care that much as she's not guilt free either. Well we started hanging out together more and she's been treating me to fancy dates and such mostly, she loves going to those expensive malls like harrods and selfridges and she just kinda tells me to pick anything I like as a gift, and if i say its fine I don't need anything at the moment she kinda pushes me or chooses stuff on her own, at some point she's mentioned she really really enjoys the spoiling aspect of it, im pretty sure it's like a fetish, but after all i assume this is what drives some if not most of these kinds of relationships lol, on top of the company. I enjoy spending time with her but we only see each other about once or twice a week bc of uni and my parents are rather strict, so she told me she'd like to start seeing me more and that she also wants to give me an allowance. I can manage to see her more often but I'm unsure about the allowance, i dont have any living or personal expenses but I'm not someone that would easily turn down money i can splurge for my own enjoyment, like most. well she was thinking upwards of like 1k a week to start out, based on how much time i spend with her. that already seems like an exorbitant amount to me but it's her who offered it. My main concern at the moment is the fact that i have a student bank account which has sat basically borderline dry ever since I've made it, and was wondering if like the bank would just outright freeze it if they were suspicious of money coming in at random, I've also never had a job or history of money coming in except from family basically. like if the bank calls me or sends me an email or a letter or whatever i can just safely tell them the truth right? I was also wondering if it would cause issues with my student loans. I told her about these things but she thinks it should be no problem, she's had a sr before and never had any issues (as far as money went), and she said she could pay off my loans, but i turned it down in like the most sensible way I could as I felt it was too big a step to take at once. she said that it if i wasn't okay being transferred the money she could just hand it to me cash but i wouldn't feel comfortable physically managing that much money, and I would also be on edge hiding it from my parents. she told me to think about it and let her know. so now, I'm unsure of what the right of course of action to take here would be. I feel like at some point id regret turning the money down if i did, and im scared of making her feel unappreciated if i do that or take too long to give her an answer. If i do accept the allowance i dont know or can't expect the complications that may arise of it and I also don't mean to make it feel like I'm taking advantage of her, and if I do accept it it would just feel like I'm prostituting myself even more so than before. any insight and advice is appreciated. thank you. sorry if this is hard to read i was just kinda writing my mind, not sure how to tldr this either.
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2023.03.31 17:46 Zolimox [WTS] 10g plat assay, 1/4 gold goat, y2k gold british sovereign near melt
Proof Album/Pics: https://imgur.com/a/WZx8if1 Some goodies for you today. As always, i encourage people to check comps, these should be priced very competitvley (especially that sovereign is only a little above melt).
x1 - 10g Valcambi Plat in Assay -
420$ x1 - 1/4 Gold Royal Mint Yale of Beaufort -
542$ x1 - 2000 British Sovereign (actual gold weight .2354) -
482$ Shipping: +5$ (i'll meet you halfway and ship priority sfrb, because the precious shiny)
Payment Options (order of preference): Zelle (preferred), Venmo FF, Paypal FF (PPFF +5 shiny points only). Absolutely NO notes, zero nada zip (smiley face's okay if required). If you send goods and services or include notes i will refund your payment and you will be out the difference.
Contact: You can use messages by hitting the "contact seller" below for DM. Or you can try chat (although chat's sometimes is a little wonky with notifications, usually it works). If you ghost me for more than is reasonable time i will move onto next person looking for the deal.
Standard Disclaimer (PLEASE READ): Once it's in USPS's hands i am no longer responsible for the package. The transaction is considered completed/final upon hand off to the USPS and is then considered an issue between the USPS and buyer. I'm not responsible if USPS loses your package or if its marked delivered and your neighbor stole it or you are scamming.
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